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January 09, 2012
Results on Consciousness Consciousness represents a new frontier beyond knowledge. TechCast's survey focuses on evaluating “Technologies of Consciousness” (ToC) that can alter awareness. |
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November 30, 2011
TechCast Radio Show - Oct 13 Tracking the Tech Revolution, with Professor Bill. Program for Oct 13 Show with Kelly Carnes, TechVision21 |
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November 04, 2011
TechCast Radio Show - Oct 6 Tracking the Tech Revolution, with Professor Bill. Program for Oct 6 Show with Dr. Chip Petricon, George Mason University |
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October 07, 2011
The Mystery and Power of Light Recent advances in artificial trees, optical wireless, photonic computers, optical crystals, high-performing solar cells, and violence from the Sun. |
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September 28, 2011
TechCast Radio Show - Sept 29 Tracking the Tech Revolution, with Professor Bill. Program for Sept 29 Show with Mike Jackson, Chairman, Shaping Tomorrow |
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September 23, 2011
TechCast Radio Show - Sept 22 Tracking the Tech Revolution, with Professor Bill. Program for Sept 22 Show with Professor Steve Ruth, George Mason University |
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September 14, 2011
TechCast Radio Show - Sept 15 Tracking the Tech Revolution, with Professor Bill. Program for Sept 15 Show with Marvin Cetron, President of Forecasting International |
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August 25, 2011
Can a Green Economy Save the Earth? Laura Huhn, TechCast's Editor for Energy & Environment, offers some hopeful guidance on the mounting crisis in energy, climate, environment decay, and other threats to the Earth. |
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August 01, 2011
Alternative Fuel Vehicles This is a fine study by three graduate students in the Emerging Technologies course at George Washington University. Kim, Alex, and Tim explore the relative benefits and drawbacks of hybrid, all-electric, and hydrogen fueled cars plus more. |
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July 18, 2011
TechCast at World Future Society Power Point of Introduction to TechCast panel at the World Future Society Conference in Vancouver. Presentations by Laura Huhn, Jim Kadtke, and Ken Harris to follow. |
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July 13, 2011
Foresight Article Dr. Roy Pearson published a fine article on TechCast in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. Roy is Chancellor Professor of Business, William and Mary Mason School of Business, and a long-time TechCast expert. |
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June 14, 2011
Cloud Computing This fine little study by Tim Gibson notes the different types of cloud computing – private, community, public, and hybrid. A survey of 79 computer users then shows that roughly 40% now use cloud, while another 20% are considering it. The survey also shows that people like the performance of cloud but are wary of its security and reliability. |
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May 30, 2011
TechCast in Rogue Magazine TechCast is featured in the introduction and the forecasts on Space Tourism, Quantum Computing, and Cancer Cure |
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May 25, 2011
KSU STUDY Study of 48 technologies conducted for King Saud University by TechCast |
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May 16, 2011
Arab Spring and the Tech Revolution The Arab Spring is but the latest manifestation of the revolutionary power of Information Technology. Just like the fall of Communism, it reminds us that more transformative events are likely. |
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April 26, 2011
Global MegaCrisis Study Michael Marien and Bill Halal collaborated on this definitive little study of the impending threats of climate change, globalization, energy, economic crises, political instability, nuclear strikes, and other forces driving a global transformation. While our surveys show that people are deeply pessimistic, the article uses our TechCast data to macro-forecast the way ahead. |
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Framing Consciousness John Sagi was one of our first authors with a fine article "Can Computers Think?" In this new article, he surveys the literature on consciousness to define this poorly understood topic that is now gaining such attention. A graphic illustrates the tentative structure of consciousness. |
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The IT Global Revolution - Evolve or Die Phil Nelson offers a badly needed touch of optimism by noting that major forecasts agree the IT revolution will soon transform life. It may be hard to imagine, but the next economic boom could release a burst of collaborative problem-solving, collective energy, and global consciousness. |
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Business Collaboration Could Transform the Economy Knowledge on progressive business practices offers an incisive solution to the limitations of markets that caused the 2008 financial meltdown. Redefining corporations into "collaborative enterprises" like Whole Foods, Nucor, and Johnson & Johnson could convert this mess into a bold opportunity to unify left- and right-wing values, resolve today's moral crisis of capitalism, and jumpstart the economy. |
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Use of Biometrics Two GWU graduate students, Vivian Chu and Gayathri Rajendran, provide an incisive survey of who is using biometrics, for what purpose, and the pros and cons. With security needs rising, the field has a bright future. |
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The Next Next Things This is a beautifully illustrated full-page article that appeared in the Washington Post. It summarizes the work of TechCast, focusing on forecasts in Space Tourism, Intelligent Cars, Telemedicine, Thought Power, Artificial Intelligence, Smart Robots, Alternative Energy, and Cancer Cure. |
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March 06, 2009
The Arlington Institute Alert John Petersen -- our famous colleague who called the global financial collapse with stunning accuracy months before it hit -- has allowed us to post his assessment of the economic crisis.
This is a serious counterbalance to TechCast views, and we are pleased to present it here. |
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Forecasts of a New Economic Boom in 2015 TechCast data show emerging technology frontiers are likely to lead the world out of global ecession. Green Business, Climate Control, Alternative Energy, E-Commerce, and other sectors are likely to start the next economic upcycle about 2015. |
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February 01, 2009
Governing Markets Bill Halal draws on a career of studying corporate governance to outline how the visible hand of stakeholder collaboration can augment the visible hand of free markets. Examples of progressive management from the leading edge suggest that a "quasi-democratic theory of the firm" seems to be evolving that can create more competitive enterprises that also serve the public welfare more effectively. |
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November 06, 2008
The Automation of Thought TechCast forecasts that artificial intelligence is expected to automate routine human knowledge about 2020. This event is of profound significance because it extends the long advance of automation from farm work, to manufacturing, services, and now even to the automation of thought - moving our attention beyond knowledge to consciousness itself. |
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April 02, 2008
Accelerating Change Al Leedahl, one of our TechCast Experts, outlines the logic of accelerating technological change by drawing on the principles of Ray Kurzweil. Leedahl's theme is crucial because the Technology Revolution is poised to speed up relentlessly, driving a social transformation that is much debated today. |
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June 25, 2007
The Metaverse: Life in 3D Virtual Environments This study by Mateo Fernandez outlines how Second Life and other virtual systems are forming a larger form of cyberspace where virtual life takes place. This emerging "Metaverse" will allow people to interact in 3D, fully immersive cyber-reality, extending most aspects of real life through space and time. |
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October 26, 2006
When Will Virtual Reality Become A Reality? Aaron Druck has been fascinated with virtual realty, like most of us, so he conducted a study to forecast its future use. Aaron explores the obstacles to VR in this article. He also presents results of a survey to estimate when it will be commercially available, the applications people favor, and how much they will pay. |
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July 05, 2006
Why Do People Reject or Accept Genetically Modified Foods? Whitney Tull produced this fine study of genetically modified foods, focusing on why some people seem to accept them just fine and others abhor the idea. We think she's discovered why great conflicts often rage over technological issues. |
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August 04, 2005
Attitudes Toward Androids Technology trends are introducing robots in offices and homes, raising the issue of how we interact with our mechanical brethren. This study of public attitudes toward living with androids offers fascinating forecasts. For instance, the authors find that people prefer female robots. |
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